A lot of people are trying to short the market for various reasons, it could be the upcoming war, overvaluation or seasonality. The stat says otherwise. If you buy the day before the employment report and close is above 200 days moving average, you have a 90% (171 trades!!)chance of winning BUT your win/loss is only 0.19. Let me stress that the payout and win/loss is not ideal for actually going long BUT it should discourage you from going short. Of course the news on our pending war could change the case for the bears.